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Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Miami Marlins (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.57%2.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.347%
Преимущество -0.162%
Kelly -0.305%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.14
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.74%46.54%46.68%48.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.062.082.1451.28%48.43%48.08%46.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Seattle Mariners (Гости)
Прогноз 53.43%1.87справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.22%
Преимущество -1.21%
Kelly -2.67%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.00%53.46%53.32%55.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.34%56.50%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Miami Marlins (Хозяева): 46.57%; Seattle Mariners (Гости): 53.43%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.15. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.14, математическое ожидание — -0.347%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.347%E -0.162%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.28%E -0.603%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.28%E -0.603%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.75%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.16%E -5.39%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-08 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.09%E -4.71%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.29%E -1.82%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.47%E -2.69%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.47%E -2.69%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:12 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.19%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:28 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 0.3% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-07-08 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |