Idioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 46.57%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.347%
Ventaja -0.162%
Kelly -0.305%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.54%46.68%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.082.1451.28%48.43%48.08%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 53.43%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.46%53.32%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.34%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 46.57%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 53.43%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.15. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.14, con un valor esperado de -0.347%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.347%E -0.162%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.28%E -0.603%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-08 19:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.28%E -0.603%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.75%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.16%E -5.39%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-08 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.09%E -4.71%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.29%E -1.82%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.47%E -2.69%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.47%E -2.69%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:12 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.19%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 22:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 0.3% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-07-08 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |