مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-07-08 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 2–0 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.57%2.15السعر العادل
EV -0.347%
الأفضلية -0.162%
Kelly -0.305%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.74%46.54%46.68%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.062.082.1451.28%48.43%48.08%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.43%1.87السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -1.21%
Kelly -2.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.46%53.32%55.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.34%56.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -0.347%E -0.162%K -0.305%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-08 19:20
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.28%E -0.603%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-08 19:39
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.28%E -0.603%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.75%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:39
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 22:39
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 20:25
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 19:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 11:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 19:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:20
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:20
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:20
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:20
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:19
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 19:20
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.16%E -5.39%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 15:20
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 22:40
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.68%E -1.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 20:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 22:35
MyBookie.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 19:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 19:19
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 19:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.14%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 19:20
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:35
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:30
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:39
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:35
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.42%E -3.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.38%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 19:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:20
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 20:20
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 06:29
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.09%E -4.71%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 19:20
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.29%E -1.82%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:39
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.47%E -2.69%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:25
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.47%E -2.69%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:15
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.94%E -2.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.35%E -2.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 20:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 22:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 20:15
Betclic (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.56%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:12
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 22:40
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.89%E -2.75%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.80%E -3.94%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.49%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.19%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.82%E -2.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-07-08 22:40
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%0.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-08 22:40
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-08 22:25
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-08 19:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-07-08 22:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-07-08 22:39
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%4.9%2026-07-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%4.9%2026-07-08 22:40