Die Schule der Quoten

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-04 22:41 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 0–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 50.68%1.97faire Quote
EV -2.18%
Vorteil -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%50.65%50.66%51.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.851.891.881.9354.05%53.02%53.19%51.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts)

Prognose 49.32%2.03faire Quote
EV -0.377%
Vorteil -0.187%
Kelly -0.370%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.59%49.35%49.34%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.871.931.932.0253.48%51.72%51.81%49.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.86%E -0.933%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 20:39
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 13:55
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.377%E -0.187%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 22:39
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 20:40
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 22:34
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 20:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 03:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 13:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:38
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:34
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:38
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 15:25
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:50
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 20:44
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:39
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:30
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:39
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:04
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:34
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:39
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:34
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 20:14
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:39
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:38
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 22:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 22:30
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 22:28
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 22:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-04 22:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-05-04 20:35
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-05-04 22:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-05-04 22:39