مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-04 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 0–1 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.68%1.97السعر العادل
EV -2.18%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%50.65%50.66%51.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.851.891.881.9354.05%53.02%53.19%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.32%2.03السعر العادل
EV -0.377%
الأفضلية -0.187%
Kelly -0.370%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.59%49.35%49.34%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.931.932.0253.48%51.72%51.81%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.86%E -0.933%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 20:39
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 13:55
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.377%E -0.187%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 22:39
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 20:40
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 22:34
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 20:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 03:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 13:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:38
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.870%E -0.433%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:34
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 22:38
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 15:25
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:50
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.70%E -1.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 20:44
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.21%E -2.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:39
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:30
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:44
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 20:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:39
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:04
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:34
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:39
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:34
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 20:14
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:39
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.73%E -3.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.83%E -1.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:38
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 22:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 22:30
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 22:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 22:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-04 22:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-05-04 20:35
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-05-04 22:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-05-04 22:39