The School of Odds

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-28 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.00%50.00%50.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.911.9655.56%52.53%52.36%51.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%50.00%50.00%50.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.911.9655.56%52.56%52.36%51.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 17:45
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 17:45
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 17:50
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 17:45
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 17:44
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:45
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 19:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:29
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 19:45
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:00
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 17:44
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 17:44
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 17:45
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -9.00%E -4.95%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -9.00%E -4.95%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-07-27 20:00
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 20:35
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-27 19:30
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%9.9%2026-07-27 17:45