StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Matchstart: 2026-07-28 22:41 UTC

Slutresultat: Miami Marlins 1–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Miami Marlins (Hemma)

Prognos 55.26%1.81rättvist odds
EV -0.532%
Fördel -0.295%
Kelly -0.665%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.05%55.21%55.26%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.731.741.8059.52%57.64%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Borta)

Prognos 44.74%2.24rättvist odds
EV +1.11%
Fördel +0.492%
Kelly +0.883%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.50%44.79%44.74%46.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.132.122.2650.00%46.97%47.17%44.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Miami Marlins (Hemma): 55.26%; Philadelphia Phillies (Borta): 44.74%. För Philadelphia Phillies (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.24. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.26, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.11%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.11%E +0.492%K +0.883%G +0.010%1.7%2026-07-28 22:39
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.217%E +0.097%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-28 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.230%E -0.103%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.230%E -0.103%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.13%E -0.509%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 22:05
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.13%E -0.509%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.57%E -0.715%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 22:19
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.532%E -0.295%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 21:15
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.36%E -1.56%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 22:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:38
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:19
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 21:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 22:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 21:44
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:19
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.70%E -2.21%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:03
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:04
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.15%E -2.43%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:19
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 21:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 20:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 21:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.51%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.06%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.06%E -3.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.29%E -1.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:28
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:29
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.19%E -1.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-28 22:39
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-07-28 22:39
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-28 21:24
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-28 22:30
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-07-28 22:40
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-28 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-07-28 22:39