语言:简体中文
Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Marlins (主队)
预测 48.87%2.05公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.635%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.87%48.95%49.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.26%51.28%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Philadelphia Phillies (客队)
预测 51.13%1.96公平赔率
EV -0.296%
优势 -0.152%
Kelly -0.312%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
50.26%51.13%51.05%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.57%53.48%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Marlins (主队)：48.87%；Philadelphia Phillies (客队)：51.13%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.95，期望值为-0.296%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 23:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.32%E -0.683%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.296%E -0.152%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 20:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 19:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 20:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 21:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 23:08 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 0.3% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-05-01 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 21:19 |