Szkoła Kursów

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Początek: 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Miami Marlins 5–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Miami Marlins (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 48.87%2.05kurs godziwy
EV -1.28%
Przewaga -0.635%
Kelly -1.26%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.37%48.87%48.95%49.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.26%51.28%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)

Prognoza 51.13%1.96kurs godziwy
EV -0.296%
Przewaga -0.152%
Kelly -0.312%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.26%51.13%51.05%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.57%53.48%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:10
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 19:49
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:09
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:08
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.32%E -0.683%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-01 21:30
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 23:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:24
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:00
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.296%E -0.152%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:59
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:19
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 20:59
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 19:54
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:34
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 20:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:05
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:55
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 20:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:08
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 23:10
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 21:54
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 23:08
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-05-01 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 22:40
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%0.5%2026-05-01 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-01 18:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-01 23:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-01 23:10
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-05-01 21:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-01 21:19