مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 5–6 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.87%2.05السعر العادل
EV -1.28%
الأفضلية -0.635%
Kelly -1.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.37%48.87%48.95%49.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.26%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.13%1.96السعر العادل
EV -0.296%
الأفضلية -0.152%
Kelly -0.312%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.26%51.13%51.05%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.57%53.48%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:10
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 19:49
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:09
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:08
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.32%E -0.683%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-01 21:30
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 23:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:24
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:00
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.296%E -0.152%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:59
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:19
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 20:59
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 19:54
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:34
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 20:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:05
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:55
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 20:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:08
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 23:10
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 21:54
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 23:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-05-01 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 22:40
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%0.5%2026-05-01 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-01 18:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-01 23:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-01 23:10
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-05-01 21:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-01 21:19