A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 5–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 48.87%2.05odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.635%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.87%48.95%49.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.901.951.952.0252.63%51.26%51.28%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 51.13%1.96odd justa
EV -0.296%
Vantagem -0.152%
Kelly -0.312%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.26%51.13%51.05%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.57%53.48%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:10
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.28%E -0.635%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 19:49
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:09
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.77%E -0.881%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.85%E -1.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-01 23:08
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.32%E -0.683%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-01 21:30
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 23:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:24
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 21:00
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.296%E -0.152%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:59
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 23:04
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:19
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 20:59
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.22%E -2.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:45
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 22:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 23:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 19:54
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 20:34
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 18:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.90%E -2.63%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 20:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:05
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:55
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 20:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 23:04
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.88%E -2.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 23:08
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.92%E -3.22%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 23:10
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.36%E -1.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 19:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.41%E -2.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 19:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.43%E -3.51%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.39%E -2.35%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 21:54
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 23:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%0.3%2026-05-01 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-05-01 22:40
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%0.5%2026-05-01 23:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-01 18:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-01 23:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-01 23:10
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-05-01 21:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-01 21:19