默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-07 17:11 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 52.52%1.90公平赔率
EV -0.203%
优势 -0.107%
Kelly -0.225%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.53%52.41%53.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.821.821.9057.14%55.02%54.95%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 47.48%2.11公平赔率
EV +0.172%
优势 +0.082%
Kelly +0.155%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.11

博彩公司预测分布
46.45%47.47%47.59%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.012.002.1152.63%49.87%50.00%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Miami Marlins (主队):52.52%;New York Mets (客队):47.48%。 对于“New York Mets (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.106。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.110,由此产生+0.172%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.172%E +0.082%K +0.155%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 19:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 20:14
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.73%E -0.834%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:24
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:15
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.52%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 20:23
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.728%E -0.385%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 20:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:24
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.56%E -4.29%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.37%E -4.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.203%E -0.107%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%9.8%2026-09-06 20:25