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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-07 17:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 52.52%1.90momio equitativo
EV -0.203%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.225%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.53%52.41%53.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.821.821.9057.14%55.02%54.95%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 47.48%2.11momio equitativo
EV +0.172%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.155%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.45%47.47%47.59%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.012.002.1152.63%49.87%50.00%47.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Marlins (Local): 52.52%; New York Mets (Visitante): 47.48%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.106. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.110, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.172%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.172%E +0.082%K +0.155%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 19:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 20:14
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.73%E -0.834%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:24
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:15
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.52%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 20:23
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.728%E -0.385%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 20:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:24
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.56%E -4.29%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.37%E -4.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.203%E -0.107%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%9.8%2026-09-06 20:25