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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-07 17:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 52.52%1.90cote équitable
EV -0.203%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.225%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.53%52.41%53.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.821.821.9057.14%55.02%54.95%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.48%2.11cote équitable
EV +0.172%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.155%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.45%47.47%47.59%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.1152.63%49.87%50.00%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Miami Marlins (Local) : 52.52% ; New York Mets (Visiteur) : 47.48%. Pour New York Mets (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.106. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.110, pour une espérance positive de +0.172%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.172%E +0.082%K +0.155%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 19:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 20:14
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.73%E -0.834%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:24
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:15
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.52%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 20:23
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.728%E -0.385%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 20:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:24
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.56%E -4.29%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.37%E -4.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.203%E -0.107%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%9.8%2026-09-06 20:25