StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

2026-09-07 17:11 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 52.52%1.90faire Quote
EV -0.203%
Vorteil -0.107%
Kelly -0.225%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%52.53%52.41%53.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.751.821.821.9057.14%55.02%54.95%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.48%2.11faire Quote
EV +0.172%
Vorteil +0.082%
Kelly +0.155%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.45%47.47%47.59%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.902.012.002.1152.63%49.87%50.00%47.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Miami Marlins (Heim): 52.52%; New York Mets (Auswärts): 47.48%. Für New York Mets (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.106. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.110 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.172%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV +0.172%E +0.082%K +0.155%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 18:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 19:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.302%E -0.144%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 20:14
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.73%E -0.834%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.68%E -1.31%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.98%E -3.34%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.15%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 19:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.93%E -2.72%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.10%E -2.03%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 20:24
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:25
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:15
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.05%E -2.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.40%E -2.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.52%E -2.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.88%E -2.12%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 20:23
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.51%E -3.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.00%E -3.03%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.728%E -0.385%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.95%E -3.55%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 20:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:24
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.03%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.42%E -3.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.56%E -4.29%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.90%E -4.07%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.37%E -4.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.08%E -4.62%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.85%E -4.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.203%E -0.107%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.80%E -5.16%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-09-06 20:20
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%9.8%2026-09-06 20:25