Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Angels

2026-08-09 17:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 57.77%1.73fair odd
EV -0.644%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.894%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.93%57.69%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7262.50%60.74%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 42.23%2.37fair odd
EV -0.749%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.555%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%42.07%42.31%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.40%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Marlins (Local): 57.77%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 42.23%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.72, with an expected value of -0.644%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.644%E -0.374%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -4.13%E -1.82%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-08 18:24
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.22%E -0.714%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.38%E -1.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.38%E -1.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 18:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 18:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.53%E -2.11%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.08%E -3.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.11%E -2.48%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.55%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:50
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:10
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.26%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.82%E -2.61%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -0.749%E -0.319%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.17%E -0.500%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.97%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:58
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.86%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-08-08 18:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-08 18:04
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 57.26%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%9.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%10.1%2026-08-08 18:05