Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Angels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 17:40 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 12–3 Los Angeles Angels

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 57.31%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%57.28%57.36%57.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.671.671.7161.73%59.75%59.70%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.69%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.533%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.401%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.07%42.72%42.64%43.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.142.232.242.3346.73%44.80%44.74%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 57.31% ; Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur) : 42.69%. Pour Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.34. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.33, pour une espérance de -0.533% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.39%E -0.600%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 15:50
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -0.533%E -0.229%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-09 17:24
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.39%E -0.600%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 00:05
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.39%E -0.600%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 17:05
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.24%E -0.978%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:35
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 06:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.24%E -0.978%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:04
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 23:44
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 20:05
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 04:40
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:33
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 07:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 07:04
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.23%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:44
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.23%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 12:59
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 04:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.94%E -3.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.94%E -3.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.01%E -3.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.58%E -4.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:13
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.16%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.16%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.64%E -4.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54%0.0%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-09 17:25
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-09 17:35
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-09 12:45
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-08 18:04
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-08-09 17:25