Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-08-09 17:40 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 12–3 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 57.31%1.74odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%57.28%57.36%57.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.671.671.7161.73%59.75%59.70%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 42.69%2.34odd justa
EV -0.533%
Vantagem -0.229%
Kelly -0.401%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%42.72%42.64%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.232.242.3346.73%44.80%44.74%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 57.31%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 42.69%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.33, com valor esperado de -0.533%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.39%E -0.600%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-09 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.00%E -1.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 15:50
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -0.533%E -0.229%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-09 17:24
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.39%E -0.600%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 00:05
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.39%E -0.600%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 17:05
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.24%E -0.978%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.57%E -1.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:35
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 06:35
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.24%E -0.978%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:04
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 23:44
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.72%E -2.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.81%E -0.789%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 20:05
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 04:40
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:33
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 06:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.29%E -2.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 07:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.80%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 07:04
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.23%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:44
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.23%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 12:59
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 04:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.95%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.94%E -3.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.94%E -3.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.44%E -3.30%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.01%E -3.67%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.58%E -4.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.22%E -3.82%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:13
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.16%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.16%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.64%E -4.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54%0.0%2026-08-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-09 17:25
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-09 17:35
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-09 12:45
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-08 18:04
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-08-09 17:25