Language:English
Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 52.91%1.89fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +0.598%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.98%53.06%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.9059.88%55.79%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.574%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%47.02%46.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.022.1553.19%49.51%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 52.91%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 47.09%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.63%E -6.97%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.23%E +0.574%K +1.07%G +0.013% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.63%E -6.97%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.23%E +0.574%K +1.07%G +0.013% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.179%E -0.085%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.59%E -0.762%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.06%E -0.992%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.06%E -0.992%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.58%E -0.849%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.11%E -1.14%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -8.99%E -5.22%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.52%E -5.56%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.52%E -5.56%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 16:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.42%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.24%E -3.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.18%E -4.20%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.18%E -4.20%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.538%E +0.283%K +0.598%G +0.003% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.54%E -5.55%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -11.48%E -6.11%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 16:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64% | 3.3% | 2026-04-09 16:10 |