A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-04-09 16:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 52.91%1.89odd justa
EV +0.538%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.598%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.98%53.06%56.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.791.801.9059.88%55.79%55.56%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 47.09%2.12odd justa
EV +1.23%
Vantagem +0.574%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%47.02%46.94%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.022.022.1553.19%49.51%49.50%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.63%E -6.97%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.23%E +0.574%K +1.07%G +0.013%6.4%2026-04-09 16:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.63%E -6.97%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.23%E +0.574%K +1.07%G +0.013%6.4%2026-04-09 16:10
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.179%E -0.085%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-09 15:15
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.59%E -0.762%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 15:35
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.06%E -0.992%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 15:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.06%E -0.992%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 15:35
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.58%E -0.849%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-09 16:00
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.11%E -1.14%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 16:09
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 15:30
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -8.99%E -5.22%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 14:05
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 16:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 14:45
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:45
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 15:25
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 16:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 16:10
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.52%E -5.56%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 16:10
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.52%E -5.56%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 16:08
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.42%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:30
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:30
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:58
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:45
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 15:45
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 15:20
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 15:20
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:20
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 14:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.24%E -3.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 15:50
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.18%E -4.20%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 16:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.18%E -4.20%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 16:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 16:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 16:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 16:10
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 16:10
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 16:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.538%E +0.283%K +0.598%G +0.003%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.54%E -5.55%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -11.48%E -6.11%K -13.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-09 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%0.1%2026-04-09 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-09 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-09 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-09 16:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-09 16:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-09 16:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-09 16:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%2.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-09 16:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%3.3%2026-04-09 16:10