مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-04-09 16:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.91%1.89السعر العادل
EV +0.538%
الأفضلية +0.283%
Kelly +0.598%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%52.98%53.06%56.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.791.801.9059.88%55.79%55.56%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.09%2.12السعر العادل
EV +1.23%
الأفضلية +0.574%
Kelly +1.07%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.72%47.02%46.94%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.882.022.022.1553.19%49.51%49.50%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.63%E -6.97%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.23%E +0.574%K +1.07%G +0.013%6.4%2026-04-09 16:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.63%E -6.97%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +1.23%E +0.574%K +1.07%G +0.013%6.4%2026-04-09 16:10
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.179%E -0.085%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-09 15:15
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.59%E -0.762%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 15:35
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.06%E -0.992%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 15:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.64%E -1.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.06%E -0.992%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 15:35
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.58%E -0.849%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-09 16:00
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.11%E -1.14%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-09 16:09
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 15:30
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -8.99%E -5.22%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 14:05
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 16:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 14:45
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:25
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 15:45
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 15:25
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 16:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 16:10
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.87%E -3.90%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.52%E -5.56%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 16:10
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.52%E -5.56%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.42%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 16:08
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.42%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:30
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:30
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:58
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:45
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 15:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 15:45
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -4.89%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 15:20
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 15:20
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:20
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 15:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 14:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.83%E -2.91%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.70%E -2.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.24%E -3.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 15:50
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.18%E -4.20%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 16:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.18%E -4.20%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 16:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 16:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 16:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -5.28%E -2.95%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 16:10
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 16:10
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 16:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.538%E +0.283%K +0.598%G +0.003%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.54%E -5.55%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -11.48%E -6.11%K -13.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-09 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%0.1%2026-04-09 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-09 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-09 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-09 16:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-09 16:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-09 16:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-09 16:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%2.5%2026-04-09 16:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-09 16:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%3.3%2026-04-09 16:10