Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-09-06 17:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 10–3 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 43.92%2.28quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.524%
Kelly -0.944%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.60%44.19%43.81%46.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.10%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.08%1.78quota equa
EV +0.944%
Vantaggio +0.524%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.33%55.81%56.19%57.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.711.701.8061.35%58.61%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 43.92%; Chicago Cubs (Trasferta): 56.08%. Per Chicago Cubs (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.78. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.944%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -9.09%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.944%E +0.524%K +1.18%G +0.011%3.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Everygame🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.178%E -0.100%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 17:30
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:39
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:20
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:30
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 17:29
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 17:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.06%E -0.923%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:25
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:00
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:40
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:29
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:20
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 07:04
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-09-06 17:40
BetOpenly◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-06 17:35
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-09-06 17:40
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-09-06 17:40
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%6.6%2026-09-06 17:40