Langue:Français
Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prévision 43.92%2.28cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.524%
Kelly -0.944%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.60%44.19%43.81%46.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.10%45.87%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.08%1.78cote équitable
EV +0.944%
Avantage +0.524%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%55.81%56.19%57.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.711.701.8061.35%58.61%58.82%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 43.92% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 56.08%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.78. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.944%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -9.09%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.944%E +0.524%K +1.18%G +0.011% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.178%E -0.100%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.06%E -0.923%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |