StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-06 17:41 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 10–3 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 43.92%2.28faire Quote
EV -1.18%
Vorteil -0.524%
Kelly -0.944%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.60%44.19%43.81%46.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.10%45.87%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.08%1.78faire Quote
EV +0.944%
Vorteil +0.524%
Kelly +1.18%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.33%55.81%56.19%57.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.631.711.701.8061.35%58.61%58.82%55.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miami Marlins (Heim): 43.92%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 56.08%. Für Chicago Cubs (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.78. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.944%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -9.09%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.944%E +0.524%K +1.18%G +0.011%3.9%2026-09-06 17:40
Everygame🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.178%E -0.100%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 17:30
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:39
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:20
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:30
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 17:29
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-06 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 17:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.06%E -0.923%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:25
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:00
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:40
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:40
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:35
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:29
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:20
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 17:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 07:04
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-06 17:40
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-09-06 17:40
BetOpenly◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-09-06 17:35
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-09-06 17:40
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-09-06 17:40
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%6.6%2026-09-06 17:40