Idioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 43.92%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.524%
Kelly -0.944%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%44.19%43.81%46.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.10%45.87%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 56.08%1.78momio equitativo
EV +0.944%
Ventaja +0.524%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%55.81%56.19%57.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.711.701.8061.35%58.61%58.82%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 43.92%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 56.08%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.78. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.944%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -9.09%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV +0.944%E +0.524%K +1.18%G +0.011% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.178%E -0.100%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -0.738%E -0.417%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.94%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.82%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.06%E -0.923%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.10%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.524%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.38%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |