Language:English
Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 37.59%2.66fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.68%37.58%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6341.67%39.37%39.22%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 62.41%1.60fair odd
EV -0.773%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%62.32%62.42%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.5966.67%65.28%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 37.59%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 62.41%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -0.773%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.13%E -0.430%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.13%E -0.430%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.88%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.88%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 19:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.39%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -0.773%E -0.486%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.51%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-20 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -5.64%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.39%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.77%E -2.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.77%E -2.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.90%E -3.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.78%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.70% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.30% | -0.3% | 2026-05-20 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 1.7% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |