L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 1–9 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 37.59%2.66cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.430%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.68%37.58%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.542.552.6341.67%39.37%39.22%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.41%1.60cote équitable
EV -0.773%
Avantage -0.486%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%62.32%62.42%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.531.531.5966.67%65.28%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.13%E -0.430%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 22:39
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.13%E -0.430%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 22:40
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.88%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 22:30
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.88%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 19:30
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-20 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 22:39
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:39
LowVig.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 22:30
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 22:30
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 19:00
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 19:09
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.39%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 19:00
MyBookie.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 22:19
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -0.773%E -0.486%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 22:20
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 22:20
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 20:40
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 22:39
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:39
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 19:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
888sport2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:29
888sport (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:29
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 22:20
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.51%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 22:29
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -5.64%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:39
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 22:20
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 19:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 22:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 22:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:19
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 22:20
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 20:20
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 22:39
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.39%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.77%E -2.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:10
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.77%E -2.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:10
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.90%E -3.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 22:30
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.78%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 22:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.66I 37.59%NM 37.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.30%-0.3%2026-05-20 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-20 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-20 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-20 22:40
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-20 22:40
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-05-20 22:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-05-20 22:40