Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-05-20 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 1–9 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 37.59%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.430%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.68%37.58%39.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.552.6341.67%39.37%39.22%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 62.41%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.773%
Ventaja -0.486%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%62.32%62.42%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.531.531.5966.67%65.28%65.36%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 37.59%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 62.41%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.60. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.59, con un valor esperado de -0.773%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.13%E -0.430%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.13%E -0.430%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 22:40
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.88%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 22:30
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.88%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 19:30
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-20 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 22:39
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.26%E -0.869%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 19:00
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.01%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 19:09
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.39%E -1.32%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 22:19
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -0.773%E -0.486%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 22:20
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 22:39
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 19:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:40
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 14:29
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 22:20
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.51%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-20 22:29
Bovada🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -5.64%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.70%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 22:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 22:39
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 22:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:39
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 22:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 20:20
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.39%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:40
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.77%E -2.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:10
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.77%E -2.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.90%E -3.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.77%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.78%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.66I 37.59%NM 37.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.30%-0.3%2026-05-20 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-20 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-20 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-20 22:40
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-20 22:40
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-05-20 22:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-05-20 22:40