Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–8 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.958%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%44.79%44.59%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.162.172.2751.55%46.20%45.98%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -0.260%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.91%55.21%55.41%57.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.81%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 44.59%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 55.41%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +1.22%E +0.536%K +0.958%G +0.012%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 20:09
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 17:49
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 20:09
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 20:09
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 17:48
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 15:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 20:00
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.32%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 20:10
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 20:09
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.24%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:50
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 18:38
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 15:39
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 20:10
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.23%E -6.32%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:09
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.260%E -0.145%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 15:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.769%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 20:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -13.50%E -6.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-05-19 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-19 15:30
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-05-19 20:10
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-19 20:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-19 20:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-19 20:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.2%2026-05-19 20:10