مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-05-19 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 4–8 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.59%2.24السعر العادل
EV +1.22%
الأفضلية +0.536%
Kelly +0.958%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.01%44.79%44.59%47.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.162.172.2751.55%46.20%45.98%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.41%1.80السعر العادل
EV -0.260%
الأفضلية -0.145%
Kelly -0.325%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.91%55.21%55.41%57.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.81%58.82%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +1.22%E +0.536%K +0.958%G +0.012%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 20:09
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 20:09
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 20:10
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 20:10
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 17:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 20:09
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 20:09
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 17:48
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 15:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 20:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.32%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 20:10
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 19:00
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 18:40
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 17:20
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 20:09
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.24%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:50
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 18:40
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 18:38
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 15:39
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 20:10
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.23%E -6.32%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 20:10
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:40
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:09
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.260%E -0.145%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 15:19
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.769%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 20:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -13.50%E -6.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 20:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-05-19 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-19 15:30
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-05-19 20:10
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-19 20:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-19 20:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-19 20:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.2%2026-05-19 20:10