L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 20:11 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 4–8 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 44.59%2.24cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.536%
Kelly +0.958%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.01%44.79%44.59%47.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.162.172.2751.55%46.20%45.98%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.41%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.260%
Avantage -0.145%
Kelly -0.325%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.91%55.21%55.41%57.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.81%58.82%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +1.22%E +0.536%K +0.958%G +0.012%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 20:09
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 20:09
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.325%E +0.145%K +0.260%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:10
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 20:10
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-19 20:10
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -0.120%E -0.054%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 17:49
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.566%E -0.254%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 20:00
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 20:09
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 20:09
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.01%E -0.456%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 17:48
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 15:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 20:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.90%E -0.865%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.32%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 20:10
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-19 19:00
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:30
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 18:40
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 17:20
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 20:09
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.24%E -1.49%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 19:50
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 18:40
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 18:38
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 15:39
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 17:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:09
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 20:10
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.23%E -6.32%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 20:10
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 19:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.14%E -2.39%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:40
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 20:09
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.36%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 20:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.260%E -0.145%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 15:19
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 20:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.37%E -0.769%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 20:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -13.50%E -6.96%K -14.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-05-19 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-05-19 20:10
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-19 15:30
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-05-19 20:10
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-19 20:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-19 20:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-19 20:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.2%2026-05-19 20:10