Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 2.19
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 53.78%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 46.22%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +1.23%E +0.560%K +1.03%G +0.013% | 1.8% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV +0.764%E +0.351%K +0.648%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.764%E +0.351%K +0.648%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.302%E +0.139%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.302%E +0.139%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.622%E -0.289%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-11 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.08%E -0.507%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-11 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-11 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-11 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 15:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-11 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 13:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -10.79%E -5.59%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -12.18%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-11 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-11 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-06-11 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 17:09 |