La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-06-11 17:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 53.78%1.86quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -0.867%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.77%53.95%56.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.37%56.50%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.22%2.16quota equa
EV +1.23%
Vantaggio +0.560%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.96%46.23%46.05%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.052.052.1952.63%48.76%48.78%45.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +1.23%E +0.560%K +1.03%G +0.013%1.8%2026-06-11 17:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV +0.764%E +0.351%K +0.648%G +0.005%2.7%2026-06-11 17:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.764%E +0.351%K +0.648%G +0.005%4.4%2026-06-11 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.302%E +0.139%K +0.258%G +0.001%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.302%E +0.139%K +0.258%G +0.001%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.622%E -0.289%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 16:40
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.08%E -0.507%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 17:10
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-11 17:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 16:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:09
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 16:00
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 17:10
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 17:09
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 16:10
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 16:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 15:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 17:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 16:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 15:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 17:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 17:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 17:10
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 17:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 16:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 13:19
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 17:10
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -10.79%E -5.59%K -11.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -12.18%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-11 17:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-11 17:09
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-11 17:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-11 17:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-06-11 17:09