مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-06-11 17:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 2–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.78%1.86السعر العادل
EV -1.59%
الأفضلية -0.867%
Kelly -1.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.77%53.95%56.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.37%56.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.22%2.16السعر العادل
EV +1.23%
الأفضلية +0.560%
Kelly +1.03%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.96%46.23%46.05%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.052.052.1952.63%48.76%48.78%45.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +1.23%E +0.560%K +1.03%G +0.013%1.8%2026-06-11 17:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV +0.764%E +0.351%K +0.648%G +0.005%2.7%2026-06-11 17:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +0.764%E +0.351%K +0.648%G +0.005%4.4%2026-06-11 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.302%E +0.139%K +0.258%G +0.001%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.302%E +0.139%K +0.258%G +0.001%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.622%E -0.289%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 16:40
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.08%E -0.507%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 17:10
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-11 17:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.01%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 17:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 16:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:09
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 16:00
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 17:10
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 17:09
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 16:10
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-11 16:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 15:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 17:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 16:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 15:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 17:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 15:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.59%E -0.867%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 17:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 17:10
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:09
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.04%E -4.70%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 17:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 16:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 13:19
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 17:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 17:10
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Betsson1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.40%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -10.79%E -5.59%K -11.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -12.18%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-11 17:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-11 17:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-11 17:09
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-11 17:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-06-11 17:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-06-11 17:09