Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 8–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 48.45%2.06fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.813%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.45%48.41%49.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.962.0353.19%50.87%51.02%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 51.55%1.94fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.65%51.55%51.59%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.851.9056.18%54.14%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 48.45%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 51.55%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 21:40
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:39
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 21:40
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 21:29
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:19
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 14:59
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 20:19
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.59%E -1.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:28
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.59%E -1.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.14%E -2.80%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 12:30
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:28
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:29
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.80%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 12:29
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:39
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 21:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.18%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -6.69%E -3.70%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 22:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:16
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.46%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -7.72%E -4.31%K -9.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -8.24%E -4.63%K -10.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-10 21:50
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-06-10 22:39
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-06-10 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-06-10 22:40