L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 8–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 48.45%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.813%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.45%48.41%49.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.971.962.0353.19%50.87%51.02%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.55%1.94cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.65%51.55%51.59%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.851.851.9056.18%54.14%54.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 21:40
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:39
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 21:40
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 21:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:19
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 14:59
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 20:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:19
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.59%E -1.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:28
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.59%E -1.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.14%E -2.80%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 12:30
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:28
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:29
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 21:30
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:38
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.80%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 13:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 12:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:30
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:40
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:39
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 15:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 21:28
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.18%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 19:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -6.69%E -3.70%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 22:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:09
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:16
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.46%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -7.72%E -4.31%K -9.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -8.24%E -4.63%K -10.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-10 21:50
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-06-10 22:39
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-06-10 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-06-10 22:40