La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-06-10 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 8–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 48.45%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.813%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.45%48.41%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.971.962.0353.19%50.87%51.02%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 51.55%1.94momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.65%51.55%51.59%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.851.851.9056.18%54.14%54.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 21:40
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:20
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.813%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:39
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 21:40
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.57%E -1.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 21:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:19
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 14:59
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 20:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:19
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.59%E -1.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:28
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.59%E -1.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.14%E -2.80%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 21:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 12:30
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:28
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:29
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.07%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 21:30
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:38
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 21:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:39
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.80%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 13:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 12:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:30
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:40
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:39
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 15:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 21:28
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.53%E -2.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-10 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.18%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 19:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -6.69%E -3.70%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 22:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 13:09
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.21%E -4.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:16
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -8.43%E -4.46%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -7.72%E -4.31%K -9.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -8.24%E -4.63%K -10.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-10 22:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-10 22:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-10 21:50
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-06-10 22:39
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-06-10 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-06-10 22:40