Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 Cincinnati Reds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 72.38%1.38fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -6.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%72.42%72.34%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3578.74%76.04%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.295%
Kelly +0.405%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.58%27.66%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.6630.77%28.89%28.99%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 72.38%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 27.62%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +1.08%E +0.295%K +0.405%G +0.004%3.1%2026-09-08 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.802%E +0.220%K +0.303%G +0.002%2.6%2026-09-09 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.802%E +0.220%K +0.303%G +0.002%2.6%2026-09-09 01:44
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-08 23:13
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 22:05
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:44
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.35%E -5.74%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.01%E -2.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV -1.13%E -0.316%K -0.439%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.41%E -0.394%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:43
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -1.68%E -0.473%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 21:10
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:59
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 02:04
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:59
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 01:45
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 01:44
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 01:59
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:14
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.01%E -2.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:00
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 02:08
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -6.65%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:30
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:45
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:04
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 02:08
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.07%E -6.36%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 01:15
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 02:00
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 01:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 02:00
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 01:40
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 02:10
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-09 02:09
BetOpenly◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-09 02:09
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-09 02:09
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-09-09 02:09