默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds

开赛时间: 2026-09-09 02:11 UTC

最终结果: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 Cincinnati Reds

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)

预测 72.38%1.38公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -6.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
70.96%72.42%72.34%73.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.321.321.3578.74%76.04%75.76%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Reds (客队)

预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV +1.08%
优势 +0.295%
Kelly +0.405%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 3.66

博彩公司预测分布
26.23%27.58%27.66%29.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.463.453.6630.77%28.89%28.99%27.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Los Angeles Dodgers (主队):72.38%;Cincinnati Reds (客队):27.62%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.62。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.66,对应+1.08%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +1.08%E +0.295%K +0.405%G +0.004%3.1%2026-09-08 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.802%E +0.220%K +0.303%G +0.002%2.6%2026-09-09 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV +0.802%E +0.220%K +0.303%G +0.002%2.6%2026-09-09 01:44
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-08 23:13
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 22:05
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:44
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.35%E -5.74%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.579%E -0.161%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.01%E -2.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV -1.13%E -0.316%K -0.439%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.41%E -0.394%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:43
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -1.68%E -0.473%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 21:10
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 01:59
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 02:04
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.96%E -0.552%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:59
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 01:45
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 01:44
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 01:59
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.62%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 01:14
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.01%E -2.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:00
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 02:08
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -6.65%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:30
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:45
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:04
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 02:08
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.07%E -6.36%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 01:15
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 02:00
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 01:58
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-09 02:00
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 01:40
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 02:10
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-09 02:09
BetOpenly◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-09 02:09
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-09 02:09
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-09-09 02:09