Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.39
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.74%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 29.26%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.33%E -5.59%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +2.40%E +0.687%K +0.962%G +0.023% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +0.356%E +0.104%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 06:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -0.229%E -0.067%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -0.229%E -0.067%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.62%E -5.02%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 14:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -2.86%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.15%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.15%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 07:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 02:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 03:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.62%E -5.02%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 06:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -1.67%E -1.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-09 02:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 12:58 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.04%E -6.18%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.38%E -1.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.38%E -1.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 04:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 15:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97% | -0.1% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |