Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-10 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 14–1 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 70.74%1.41cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -4.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.59%70.96%72.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.08%74.07%71.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.26%3.42cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +0.687%
Kelly +0.962%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.23%29.41%29.04%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.77%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Dodgers (Local) : 70.74% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 29.26%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.33%E -5.59%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +2.40%E +0.687%K +0.962%G +0.023%4.9%2026-09-09 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +0.356%E +0.104%K +0.147%G +0.001%2.1%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 06:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -0.229%E -0.067%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -0.229%E -0.067%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 10:04
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.62%E -5.02%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 14:13
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 00:19
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 00:44
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -2.86%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 15:05
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.15%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 13:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.15%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 07:14
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:19
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 12:39
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:19
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 03:09
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.62%E -5.02%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 06:24
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -1.67%E -1.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:58
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 00:44
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 00:24
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.04%E -6.18%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.38%E -1.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 03:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.38%E -1.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:04
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 15:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97%-0.1%2026-09-09 16:55
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-09 16:35
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 16:55
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 14:15
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-09-09 16:55