Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-09-10 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 14–1 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 70.74%1.41odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%70.59%70.96%72.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.08%74.07%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 29.26%3.42odd justa
EV +2.40%
Vantagem +0.687%
Kelly +0.962%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.23%29.41%29.04%31.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.77%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.74%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 29.26%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.42. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.40%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.33%E -5.59%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +2.40%E +0.687%K +0.962%G +0.023%4.9%2026-09-09 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +0.356%E +0.104%K +0.147%G +0.001%2.1%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV +0.064%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 06:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -0.229%E -0.067%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV -0.229%E -0.067%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 10:04
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.62%E -5.02%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.521%E -0.153%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 14:13
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 00:19
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 00:44
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -2.86%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 15:05
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.15%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 13:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.15%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 15:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 07:14
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 00:19
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 12:39
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:19
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 03:09
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 00:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.62%E -5.02%K -20.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 06:24
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -1.67%E -1.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:58
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 00:44
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 00:24
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.91%E -4.45%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.04%E -6.18%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.38%E -1.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 03:10
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.38%E -1.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.08%E -2.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:05
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:04
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.79%E -2.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 15:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.50%E -3.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97%-0.1%2026-09-09 16:55
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-09 16:35
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-09 17:30
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 16:55
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 14:15
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-09-09 16:55