Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 23:21 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 61.81%1.62fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.68%61.70%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6066.67%64.60%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV +0.443%
Edge +0.168%
Kelly +0.272%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.32%38.30%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.482.6343.48%40.36%40.32%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 61.81%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 38.19%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.443%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.443%E +0.168%K +0.272%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-02 23:19
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.061%E +0.023%K +0.038%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.321%E -0.123%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.321%E -0.123%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.703%E -0.270%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-02 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.703%E -0.270%K -0.439%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -1.11%E -0.691%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -2.23%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-02 23:20
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.23%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 13:39
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:24
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 23:19
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 23:19
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 23:15
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 13:25
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 22:14
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 23:15
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 23:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:15
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -5.67%E -2.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.11%E -0.691%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 22:39
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 22:39
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.67%E -4.42%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.10%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 23:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -9.10%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.10%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 23:19
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-02 23:12
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-02 23:20
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 22:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 23:20
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-02 23:20
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-08-02 23:20

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