默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-08-02 23:21 UTC

最终结果: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)

预测 61.81%1.62公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.691%
Kelly -1.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
59.74%61.68%61.70%62.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.541.6066.67%64.60%64.94%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 38.19%2.62公平赔率
EV +0.443%
优势 +0.168%
Kelly +0.272%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
37.04%38.32%38.30%40.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.482.482.6343.48%40.36%40.32%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Los Angeles Dodgers (主队):61.81%;Boston Red Sox (客队):38.19%。 对于“Boston Red Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.62。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.63,对应+0.443%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.443%E +0.168%K +0.272%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-02 23:19
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.061%E +0.023%K +0.038%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.321%E -0.123%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 23:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.321%E -0.123%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.703%E -0.270%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-02 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.703%E -0.270%K -0.439%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -1.11%E -0.691%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -2.23%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-02 23:20
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.23%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 13:39
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:24
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 23:19
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 23:19
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 23:15
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 13:25
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 22:14
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 23:15
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 23:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:15
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -5.67%E -2.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.11%E -0.691%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.81%E -3.13%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.20%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 22:39
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 22:39
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.67%E -4.42%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.10%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 23:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -9.10%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.10%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 23:19
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.96%E -1.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 23:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-02 23:12
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-02 23:20
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 22:00
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 23:20
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-08-02 23:20
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-08-02 23:19
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-08-02 23:20