Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.42
assuming max odds 3.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.34%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 29.66%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.33%E +0.674%K +0.950%G +0.022% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +1.73%E +0.505%K +0.713%G +0.012% | 2.1% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.844%E +0.248%K +0.352%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.639%E -0.191%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.23%E -0.370%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.23%E -0.370%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-21 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.29%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 01:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.85%E -6.00%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-21 01:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 01:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.68%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.117%E -0.083%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 00:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.29%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 01:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -7.76%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.23%E -1.60%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 02:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-21 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 01:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-21 02:06 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-21 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-06-21 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 2.9% | 2026-06-21 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 01:50 |