Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 70.34%1.42cote équitable
EV -0.117%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.279%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.35%70.31%72.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.311.351.361.4276.34%73.82%73.53%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.66%3.37cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.674%
Kelly +0.950%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.82%29.65%29.69%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.13%31.25%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Dodgers (Local) : 70.34% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 29.66%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +2.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.33%E +0.674%K +0.950%G +0.022%4.2%2026-06-21 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +1.73%E +0.505%K +0.713%G +0.012%2.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.844%E +0.248%K +0.352%G +0.003%4.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.639%E -0.191%K -0.272%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.23%E -0.370%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.23%E -0.370%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 01:29
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-21 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 01:59
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.29%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 01:59
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.85%E -6.00%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 02:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:00
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 02:09
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-21 01:30
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 01:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 01:50
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.68%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 00:59
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.117%E -0.083%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 01:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 00:49
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.29%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 01:49
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 00:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 00:50
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 00:49
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -7.76%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.23%E -1.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 02:08
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 01:46
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 23:49
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 02:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-21 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-21 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-21 01:40
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-20 22:20
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-06-21 02:10
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%2.9%2026-06-21 02:10
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%4.2%2026-06-21 01:50