La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-06-21 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 70.34%1.42momio equitativo
EV -0.117%
Ventaja -0.083%
Kelly -0.279%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.35%70.31%72.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.351.361.4276.34%73.82%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 29.66%3.37momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.674%
Kelly +0.950%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.82%29.65%29.69%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.13%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.33%E +0.674%K +0.950%G +0.022%4.2%2026-06-21 02:09
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +1.73%E +0.505%K +0.713%G +0.012%2.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.844%E +0.248%K +0.352%G +0.003%4.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.639%E -0.191%K -0.272%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.23%E -0.370%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 01:29
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.23%E -0.370%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 01:29
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-21 02:09
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 02:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 02:09
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 01:59
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.29%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 01:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 01:59
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 01:20
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 02:09
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.85%E -6.00%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.12%E -0.643%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 02:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 02:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 02:09
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 02:09
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 02:09
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-21 01:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 01:46
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 01:50
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 00:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 00:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:50
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 01:49
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:50
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 01:49
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 02:09
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.68%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 00:59
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -0.117%E -0.083%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 01:49
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 00:49
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.29%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 01:49
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 00:29
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.57%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 00:30
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 00:50
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 00:49
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -7.76%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-20 22:09
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.23%E -1.60%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 00:50
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 02:08
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.15%E -5.42%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 01:46
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 23:49
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 02:09
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 02:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-21 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-21 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-21 01:40
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-21 02:10
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-20 22:20
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-06-21 02:10
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%2.9%2026-06-21 02:10
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%4.2%2026-06-21 01:50