The School of Odds

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

2026-07-28 01:38 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 48.04%2.08fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.15%47.97%48.00%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.981.992.0553.76%50.54%50.25%48.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 51.96%1.92fair odd
EV -0.747%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.821%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.03%52.00%52.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.831.831.9156.82%54.72%54.64%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.53%E -0.745%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:45
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.01%E -0.984%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.01%E -0.984%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 18:50
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.01%E -0.984%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.42%E -2.98%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.45%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.747%E -0.391%K -0.821%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.41%E -2.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:54
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.38%E -2.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 18:50
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.37%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.37%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.38%E -2.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:50
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.37%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.38%E -2.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.85%E -2.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.38%E -2.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.25%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:15
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.25%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.33%E -3.25%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.42%E -2.98%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:48
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.25%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 18:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.69%E -5.16%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.54%E -4.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.65%E -5.73%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.54%E -4.85%K -11.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-07-26 19:30
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%10.0%2026-07-26 18:50