Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 4–6 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prediction 50.33%1.99fair odd
EV +0.652%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.652%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%50.35%50.39%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.891.892.0054.95%52.80%52.91%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 49.67%2.01fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.65%49.61%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.931.9954.95%52.00%51.81%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.33%; Houston Astros (Visit): 49.67%. For Los Angeles Angels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.652%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.652%E +0.326%K +0.652%G +0.004%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 01:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.354%E -0.179%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.59%E -5.27%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.956%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 00:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.86%E -0.956%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.65%E -0.831%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 01:05
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.15%E -0.578%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:00
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.14%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.14%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.14%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.37%E -1.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.831%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 23:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:35
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 01:34
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 01:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.39%E -3.44%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.44%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 00:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 01:22
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.41%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.61%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-28 01:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 15:01
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-07-28 01:30
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-07-27 23:30

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