L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

2026-07-28 01:38 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Prévision 47.99%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.14%47.96%48.00%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.992.002.0553.76%50.27%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.01%1.92cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.896%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.04%52.00%52.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.831.831.8956.82%54.75%54.64%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.73%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:45
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.73%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 20:09
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.73%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.73%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 18:50
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:45
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.69%E -0.896%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 20:25
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.21%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 20:30
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 19:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:48
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 20:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:54
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:55
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 20:15
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:55
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.47%E -2.78%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.29%E -2.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:50
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.47%E -2.78%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 20:21
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.29%E -2.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.73%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.33%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:48
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 18:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.46%E -4.80%K -11.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.75%E -5.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.46%E -4.80%K -11.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-26 20:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-07-26 20:25
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%9.1%2026-07-26 20:30