Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-07-28 01:39 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Angels 4–6 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Angels (Local)

Previsão 50.33%1.99odd justa
EV +0.652%
Vantagem +0.326%
Kelly +0.652%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%50.35%50.39%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.891.892.0054.95%52.80%52.91%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 49.67%2.01odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.578%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%49.65%49.61%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.921.931.9954.95%52.00%51.81%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Angels (Local): 50.33%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 49.67%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.99. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.652%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.652%E +0.326%K +0.652%G +0.004%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 01:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.354%E -0.179%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.59%E -5.27%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.86%E -0.956%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 00:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.86%E -0.956%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.10%E -4.97%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.65%E -0.831%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 01:05
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.15%E -0.578%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:00
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.14%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.14%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.49%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.14%E -1.09%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.37%E -1.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.831%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.64%E -1.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 23:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:35
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.38%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 01:34
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.58%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 01:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.63%E -1.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.80%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.39%E -3.44%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.12%E -2.68%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.44%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.96%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 00:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.14%E -1.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.09%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 01:22
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.41%E -4.62%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.61%E -3.52%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 23:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-28 01:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-28 01:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 15:01
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-07-28 01:30
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-07-27 23:30